Cerro Largo vs Progreso prediction, preview and stats, 12 Nov 2026
Cerro Largo host Progreso in the Uruguayan Primera División on Thursday, 12 November 2026. Our model expects 1.1 goals from Cerro Largo and 1.0 from Progreso, with Cerro Largo winning 39% of the time, a draw 31% and Progreso 30%.
Match details
Cerro Largo vs Progreso is a Uruguayan Primera División fixture played on Thursday, 12 November 2026, with kick-off at 23:00 UTC.
Form guide
Cerro Largo's last 8 results, most recent first: L W D L L L L D.
Progreso's last 8 results, most recent first: L W W D L W W L.
Cerro Largo have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded at home over their last 17 games there.
Progreso have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded away from home over their last 18 games there.
Cerro Largo vs Progreso head-to-head
3 May 2026: Progreso 0-1 Cerro Largo
What the numbers say
Win probability: Cerro Largo 39%, draw 31%, Progreso 30%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 63%, over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 43%.
Tipvor prediction
Over-Under Tips: under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.21 (78% confidence).
Cerro Largo have lost 5 of their last 8, while Progreso have taken 13 points from their last 8. Cerro Largo average 1.2 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Progreso average 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. When they last met, Cerro Largo won 1-0 against Progreso. Our model expects Cerro Largo to score about 1.1 and Progreso about 1.0. We expect only around 2.1 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Tipvor is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.
VIP results, last 7 days
5 won · 4 lost